James Hansen, et al have issued a study titled “Young people’s burden: requirement of negative CO2 emissions. The authors say that unless CO2 reduction begins right away and aggressively the next generation and the one after that will have to spend a $535 trillion to make Earth habitable. This $535 trillion is not the $trillions that the warmers want to spend to bring CO2 emissions to a net zero by 2050 or 2100 (depending on which warmer group is talking). The $535 trillion is for removing atmospheric CO2.
The Hansen et al study says the global temperature will melt glaciers and consequently sea level will rise 6 to 9 meters (approximately 20 to 30 feet). Using models, the study determined a temperature rise due to a rise in atmospheric CO2 and then determined that the glaciers will melt which is the big threat. The authors conclude that the current interglacial period would match the Eemian interglacial period which occurred about 125,000 years ago. That period is believed to have experienced a 6 to 9-meter sea level rise. The chart below, from Wikipedia shows the current interglacial period, the Holocene and the Eemian and other interglacial periods. Note that the scale is more or less logarithmic and not linear.
A tangential observation—this chart shows that the Globe’s temperature has been much hotter than at present. Also, the Pleistocene running from about 1 million years ago to about 20 thousand years ago shows glacial and interglacial periods. The peak temperatures are the time of the interglacial and the rest are the times when some part of Earth was covered by advancing glaciers. Were there SUVs and fossil fuel powered plants putting out CO2 that caused the glaciers to melt?
Posted in AGW, Antartica, Climate Alarmism, Climate Models, CO2, CO2 positive feedback, fossil fuels, Global Temperatures, Ice Melt, Interglacial periods, Paris Agreement, Sea Level
The Manhattan Contrarian posted “Looks Like Global Action On “Climate Change” Is Dead by Frances Menton. There is not much in the posting that I have not already covered. However, there are two things that do standout that I want to pass on. Menton’s posting is relative to the members of the G 20, that have just reaffirmed their support for the Paris Agreement in the Summary statement at the end of the G 20* meeting. The US did not join in the reaffirmation.
Menton notes that Russia’s intended reduction is based upon their CO2 emissions in 1990 before they collapse in 1991 of the Soviet Union.
“Then they closed down all that inefficient Soviet industry. According to a graph at Climate Action Tracker here, by 2000 their emissions were down by almost 40% from the 1990 level, and they have only crept up a little from there since.”
That was their ploy back in the days of the Kyoto Pact, too.
Posted in AGW, China, Climate Alarmism, CO2, Coal, Environment, EU, IPCC, Kyoto, Paris Agreement, President Trump, Renewable Energy, United Nations
A posting by sundance titled “Angela Merkel Reflects Fear And Loathing Amid EU Elites…”. I believe provides an important perspective on the President Trump’s America First Strategy. I have focused on Energy and the Paris
Agreement, but Trump’s strategy, as laid out by the author, sundance, is more that those two items. It really is a plan to make the US economically strong again.
President Trump has put a jaw-dropping U.S. energy platform solidly into place. You can learn more about them HERE and HERE. The announcements last week are tectonic in consequence though seemingly lost amid the chafe of media reporting over twitter spats.
Everything President Trump’s team does is connected to a bigger, much bigger, picture than most people are paying attention to. However, those who control the levers of multinational power are paying very close attention.
At it’s core and central elements ‘America-First’ is about prosperity and national security through the utilization of leveraged economic power. For four decades, as he built out his empire of holdings, every-single-day at every-single-opportunity, Donald Trump voiced vociferous frustration that politicians were allowing the U.S. to be controlled, lessened, weakened and robbed by multinational economic interests.
Posted in AGW, carbon tax, China, Climate Alarmism, Domestic Energy, Fracking/Shale Gas, Government Regulations, Oil and Gas Exploration, OPEC, Paris Agreement, President Trump
A recent video has Stephen Hawking saying that leaving the Paris Agreement will result in Earth becoming like Venus. That, of course, would destroy all life, animal and plant. It is pretty far out for anyone to make a statement like that but ……..
Dr Roy Spencer, a noted scientist, responds to Hawking’s comment in the following:
Stephen Hawking Flies off the Scientific Reservation
I can understand when pop-scientists like Bill Nye spout scientific silliness.
But complete nonsense coming from Stephen Hawking? Really?
In this video, Stephen Hawking claims that Trump withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris Accord could lead to the Earth being pushed past a tipping point, with Venus-like 250 deg. C temperatures and sulfuric acid rain.
The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) posted “Forget Paris—1600 New Coal Power Plants Built Around The World.” The GWPF provides the chart below that focuses on Europe, Asia and Africa using data from Coal Exit.com:
As you can see, China already has 2,363 coal based plants and expects to have 1,171more. It comes as no surprise that China and India are major users of coal based power currently and they will be the major builders in the future. No other country is even close. It is illustrative to see that European nations are forecast to be increasing coal based capacity, not reducing it as their none too subtle “holier than thou” attitude would suggest.
Posted in AGW, Alternative Energy, China, Climate Alarmism, Climate Models, CO2, Coal, Electricity from Coal, Global Temperatures, Government Regulations, Paris Agreement, President Trump, solar cells, Windpower
More virtue signaling. Bloomberg organizes “Governors, mayors, businesses, commit to Paris climate pact goals” according to a posting on the Hill.com. ** The posting says that they are going to abide by the Paris Agreement. So, they are going to reduce the US CO2 emissions. Do you think the people that they serve will back them up even though it will cost many of them their jobs and increase the cost of living for all? A big maybe. Polling has shown that many people like the idea combating “global warming” but most of them do not like the expense of carrying out a big global warming program.
And the kicker will be that they will have to pony up the money that the Paris Agreement needs. Annually the Green Climate Fund requires $100 billion every year beginning in 2020. I am not sure what the share of the $100 billion this Bloomberg group will be required to put up each year, but I think the share the US government was expected to provide was about 25%. $25 billion each year for ever. And it might be more, because some re-evaluations by the Paris Agreement folks are talking estimates like $400 billion per year as the program evolves— that would mean that the Bloomberg group would have to perhaps provide $100 billion per year.
The Green Climate Fund has been active for a number of years as a means of putting together the program. The goal was to initially get $10 billion. The pledges had reached $10 billion. But pledges are just that—pledges. They really don’t have $10 billion in hard cash. The US had pledged $3 billion but at least $2 billion will not be sent to the Fund now. If these nations are having trouble supplying a $10 billion one time funding, what does that tell you about their willingness to fund a $100 billion per year fund?
My guess is the Bloomberg group will join the other big talkers and find that their treasuries really don’t have the money to support the $100 billion per year.
I have come across a posting on JunkScience titled “Milloy rips at ExxonMobil management for supporting climate alarmism” by Steve Milloy. The content of his address at the recent ExxonMobil stockholders meeting can read by clicking here.
Here is a part of what Milloy said this at the meeting:
“My fellow shareholders, we can defeat the activists as they:
- Hype the climate hoax;
- Lobby governments for anti-oil policies;
- Force investment funds to divest from Exxon;
- Campaign to stop oil production; and
- Pressure regulators to force companies to write down their reserves.
A handful of others and I have been fighting these anti-capitalist activists for decades.
Our efforts helped produce a President who knows climate hysteria is unfounded and who wants the oil industry to thrive. “
Read Milloy’s address, or listen to it on the YouTube (I found that difficult so that is why I have put the transcript in.)