Category Archives: Climate Models

CO2 And Climate Change Science–Part 2: A Summary Of The Science


The website CO2 Coalition has a post titled “Climate Change: A summary of the Science”.  It one of the best summaries I have come across lately.  It is fairly long, so I could do my usual and summarize it, but there is virtually nothing in it that I would want to skip over.  So, I will not deprive the reader. I will put it in, in its entirety.  I hope that my posting yesterday will fill in any blanks you may have otherwise had.

cbdakota

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News 26 Feb, 2017

Climate Change: A Summary of the Science

The climate change science is settled, but not how the climate alarmists want you to think.

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CERN CLOUD Study Says IPCC Climate Sensitivity Is Too High.  Svensmark Vindicated Some What.


Water vapor is acknowledged to be the primary “greenhouse gas”.  In the warmer’s theory, any increase of global temperature due to atmospheric CO2, results in a corresponding increase of water vapor.  The impact on temperature is a tripling of that which would occur from CO2 alone. This feedback loop is called Climate Sensitivity.

Climate Sensitivity

clouds-reflecting-sun-rays

Actual temperature records show that this is not happening.  There has been only a slight rise in global temperatures over the past 20 years and that rise may have been from natural causes rather than CO2. See this argument in this posting. The most recent IPCC global warming report was ambiguous on this issue, apparently recognizing that their long held standard 3X increase was in trouble. Studies by many groups have demonstrated the multiplier is not 3X and at least 2X at best.  See the following chart:

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Reblogging: Dear Climate Alarmists – We Will Never Forget nor Forgive.


 

I am reblogging Adam Piggot’s posting “Dear Climate Alarmists—We Will Never Forget nor Forgive.

The author lays out his complaints about the way the warmers treat the data and as well as how they have treated him.  He believes the catastrophic man-made global warming theory is unraveling and the skeptics will be vindicated. So what do you think about the following?

 

It’s been a rough ten years as a so-called “climate denier”. Every year the climate data would show a complete refusal to follow the accepted and official line, and every year the faith of the climate change faithful only seemed to get stronger and stronger. And their abuse of heretics like myself only got stronger and stronger. I have lost friendships over my stance on this issue. I have been attacked publicly by those around me on numerous occasions. And I have endured the casual mockery at social gatherings where the accepted response has been to pat me on the head in a condescending manner – here he is; our own climate denier. Isn’t he precious?

I have watched landscapes I love destroyed by the looming figures of gigantic wind farms that stand in mute mockery of my continued resistance to this enormous scam. I have observed with silent loathing the hypocrites who swan around in their enormous SUVs while proudly parading their dubious green credentials, even as ordinary families struggle with the reality of paying their ever-increasing power bills. Only a few months ago, a piece I wrote on the climate change scam elicited concerned emails and calls from people I know who cautioned me with the treacherous path I was taking.

But money talks and bulls— walks, and the money is beginning to drop out of this con to end all cons.

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Challenge Conventional Wisdom


The website inc.com/quora posted “Why You Should Never, Ever Stop Challenging Conventional Wisdom”.  I have lifted most of their little gems of wisdom. I am posting this as it fits well with my previous blog about theTheory of Man-Made Global Warming Effect.

The experts are usually wrong.

Experts (those who predict the future for a living) are, more often than not, dart-throwers. They perform no better than chance. And recently they have performed even worse than chance.

“Economists have predicted nine of the last five recessions.”

We are ALL biased. We see the world through a very hazy prism of our experiences.

There is no unbiased news outlet. Even “real news” has an element of untruth to it. Almost every news story I had intimate knowledge of made a significant reporting mistake of factual error in the story.  

We’re human, and we make mistakes. We’re human, and we see the world with our strong bias. We overweight individual sources and underweight others. We discount data that is very good, and we rely on data that is wrong. We see patterns when there are none and see coincidences when there are conspiracies

 

The “expert” can be dangerous. Continue reading

Theory of Man-Made Global Warming Effect–New Super Computer Cheyenne


Jeane Dixon was guest on late night TV as well as frequently in magazines and other media because she made predictions-some of which came true but mostly were off target. For years, media featured her New Year predictions. Her notoriety sprung from her prediction that the 1960 Presidential election would be won by a Democrat but the winner would not live out his term.  Following President John Kennedy’s assassination, someone remembered her prediction and the rest, as they say, is history.

From Wiki, comes the definition of the Jean Dixon Effect.

John Allen Paulos, a mathematician at Temple University, coined the term ‘the Jeane Dixon effect’, which references a tendency to promote a few correct predictions while ignoring a larger number of incorrect predictions.[1] Many of Dixon’s predictions proved erroneous, such as her claims that a dispute over the offshore Chinese islands of Quemoy and Matsu would trigger the start of World War III in 1958, that American labor leader Walter Reuther would run for President of the United States in the 1964 presidential election, that the second child of Canadian Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau and his young wife Margaret would be a girl (it was a boy), and that the Russians would be the first to put men on the moon.[15][16]

I think it is time to declare the Theory of Man-Made Global Warming Effect.  The theory certainly fits the Effect definition as posited by John Allen Paulos.

cheyenne_plumbing-450And it is about time to do that.  A new, ultra-fast computer, the Cheyenne, has just been brought on-line in Wyoming.  It will be used to do studies, some of which will be related to “man-made global warming”.  What we can expect are more erroneous predictions made faster than they used to be.  That’s progress.  And of course, it means more doom-laden stories for the media to circulate.

cbdakota

Dr. Judith Curry Says Global Climate Models Are Not Good Enough To Make Policy Decisions


 

Dr. Judith Curry posts  “Climate Models for the layman”.  The Executive Summary may be enough for some readers.   Here is the link to the full posting where the reader can gain an in depth understanding of Dr. Curry’s thinking that she used to derive the Key Summary Points shown below: 

currygcmfullpage

 

 

cbdakota

What Do Scientist Say About Man-Made Global Warming?


 

Richard Lindzen, (Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, MIT) discusses the beliefs of three groups.  Group 1 are the IPCC scientist that believe that CO2 emissions are causing global warming.  Group 2 are scientist that are typical called skeptic and Group 3 are the politicians, media and environment groups plus some hangers-on’s.

Lindzen asks “where do we really stand on the issue of Global Warming”, and discusses this in the following video:

 

 

 cbdakota