Reddit.com has a site called AskScience where an inquiring mind submits a question and expert scientist answer the inquiry. Recently a question was submitted by a person concerned that the IPCC was underestimating the problem of catastrophic man-made global warming. The questioner wanted to know the answer to the following:
” Given the nonlinear nature of the atmosphere, how can we have any confidence in long term predictions of temperature rise? “
A Major warmer scientist from MIT answered the question as follows:”
We are worried about that too. Climate is an enormously complex system and we do not pretend that we can predict is with much accuracy, which is why, for example, in the IPCC reports there is a generous range of possible outcomes. (K.E.) (My emphasis.)
Kerry Emanuel (KE) answered that question. Are you asking who he is? Well, see the following introduction that he provided:
“I’m Kerry Emanuel, a Professor of Atmospheric Science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge, Massachusetts. I do research on hurricanes and other types of severe weather, on climate change, and how climate change might affect severe weather. My research is mostly theoretical, but I also build computer models and occasionally participate in field experiments and build and use laboratory experiments. I have flown research aircraft into hurricanes, and wrote a book called “Divine Wind: The History and Science of Hurricanes”, aimed at a general reader and covering both the science of hurricane and how they have influenced history, art, and literature.”
If one googles Dr Emanuel, the source will almost invariably call him a “conservative warmer”. At one time he did vote for a Republican candidate. However he voted for President Obama because Emanuel admits that he is a single-issue voter and Obama signs the warmer’s songs. So much for being called a conservative.
Anyway, almost all of us agree with Dr Emanuel that warmer’s predictions are unlikely to be accurate.